Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 2800.347315 3028.069451 3258.807642 3509.792442 3774.785421 4045.936072 4344.039277
2025-01-05 2432.681286 2771.992234 3128.718928 3530.496949 3969.189369 4432.442447 4957.387389
2025-01-12 2185.613100 2590.624605 3028.268140 3533.831018 4099.216215 4709.543897 5415.656616
2025-01-19 1929.651333 2369.965103 2857.547221 3433.454935 4090.947948 4814.108756 5665.449050
2025-01-26 1845.264077 2331.952375 2881.501472 3542.025142 4308.281094 5163.218081 6183.031682
2025-02-02 1754.192475 2276.711549 2877.476149 3611.177164 4474.732184 5450.659771 6628.480940
2025-02-09 1637.422315 2182.011368 2819.382749 3609.970908 4553.531971 5632.988151 6950.227920
2025-02-16 1521.221812 2080.239628 2745.905209 3584.003945 4597.612074 5770.643609 7216.943657
2025-02-23 1449.959182 2029.093191 2729.371665 3622.679087 4715.584024 5993.023108 7582.063167
2025-03-02 1365.073021 1955.693643 2681.022099 3618.501657 4778.644857 6148.020246 7866.247694
2025-03-09 1313.729867 1922.030296 2679.427206 3669.715689 4907.503961 6380.977057 8243.671480
2025-03-16 1231.241463 1843.386642 2617.131247 3641.520694 4935.744457 6490.419544 8471.399222
2025-03-23 1196.216416 1826.932994 2634.507684 3715.105417 5092.753645 6760.253258 8899.072896
2025-03-30 1141.634302 1781.537683 2612.341653 3736.704363 5183.966163 6949.796380 9230.476584
2025-04-06 1083.919547 1728.826040 2577.939098 3740.181284 5250.506189 7107.873299 9523.126643
2025-04-13 988.858168 1619.490095 2463.926026 3635.488887 5175.152974 7086.222581 9591.099659
2025-04-20 981.089599 1633.035572 2515.027165 3748.726325 5381.034424 7418.325569 10101.251674
2025-04-27 959.145802 1624.908966 2535.664859 3820.831327 5533.558382 7683.836588 10529.740181
2025-05-04 913.029471 1579.372150 2502.923639 3819.573690 5589.025117 7825.666672 10802.933013
2025-05-11 861.123608 1522.821936 2452.647560 3792.499537 5608.843614 7920.902251 11016.768289
2025-05-18 834.195368 1502.449535 2452.209517 3832.822957 5717.698516 8130.638418 11376.987728
2025-05-25 794.750269 1461.169310 2420.425652 3828.467716 5765.846064 8261.501279 11636.659477
2025-06-01 775.054495 1449.463349 2430.435180 3881.857937 5891.647973 8493.687744 12027.544951